| Market | Probability | Rating | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 98% | BBB | $61.3M |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 95% | BBB | $36.3M |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 93% | BBB | $32.9M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 83% | BB | $26.3M |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 80% | BBB | $25.5M |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | 91% | A | $24.4M |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 93% | BBB | $23.4M |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 83% | BBB | $23.2M |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 98% | BBB | $22.6M |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 97% | A | $20.6M |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 98% | A | $18.6M |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 85% | A | $18.3M |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 93% | A | $17.3M |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 82% | BB | $16.6M |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 97% | A | $16.6M |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 91% | A | $16.4M |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 94% | A | $16.4M |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 83% | BB | $16.2M |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 97% | A | $15.9M |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 91% | A | $15.8M |
Live prediction market data from Polymarket and Kalshi, updated in real time. Markets are rated AAA through C using bond-style methodology.