| Market | Probability | Rating | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 96% | BBB | $57.6M |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 93% | BBB | $32.6M |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 94% | A | $31.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 82% | B | $23.7M |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | 88% | A | $20.2M |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 91% | BBB | $19.6M |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 98% | BBB | $19.3M |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 85% | A | $18.6M |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 83% | BB | $15.6M |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 84% | BB | $15.4M |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 84% | BBB | $14.1M |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 97% | A | $13.9M |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 83% | BBB | $13.8M |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | 77% | BBB | $13.7M |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | 97% | BB | $13.6M |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 93% | A | $13.1M |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 97% | BBB | $13.0M |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 97% | BBB | $12.5M |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 91% | BBB | $12.4M |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 91% | A | $12.3M |
Live prediction market data from Polymarket and Kalshi, updated in real time. Markets are rated AAA through C using bond-style methodology.