| Market | Probability | Rating | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 96% | A | $40.6M |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 94% | BBB | $33.2M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 88% | BB | $29.6M |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 76% | BBB | $27.9M |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 82% | A | $27.5M |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 75% | B | $25.4M |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 93% | BBB | $23.4M |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 98% | A | $22.2M |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 83% | BBB | $21.6M |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 92% | A | $20.4M |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 97% | A | $19.5M |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 91% | A | $19.1M |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 92% | A | $18.7M |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 83% | BB | $17.9M |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 98% | A | $17.9M |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 89% | A | $17.8M |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 95% | A | $17.4M |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 83% | B | $16.4M |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 98% | BBB | $15.1M |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 96% | AA | $14.8M |
Live prediction market data from Polymarket and Kalshi, updated in real time. Markets are rated AAA through C using bond-style methodology.