| Market | Probability | Rating | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 98% | BBB | $63.5M |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 84% | A | $38.1M |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 78% | BBB | $37.3M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 85% | BB | $34.1M |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 94% | BBB | $33.6M |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 93% | BBB | $33.5M |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 97% | A | $32.2M |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 90% | A | $32.0M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 86% | BB | $31.8M |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 96% | AA | $31.6M |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 84% | A | $31.0M |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 94% | A | $29.2M |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 92% | A | $28.0M |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 91% | A | $27.8M |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 89% | A | $26.7M |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 79% | BBB | $23.6M |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 88% | BB | $19.4M |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 86% | BB | $16.7M |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 97% | BBB | $14.1M |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 98% | BBB | $13.9M |
Live prediction market data from Polymarket and Kalshi, updated in real time. Markets are rated AAA through C using bond-style methodology.