Ceasefire risk ticks up as Iran warns of retaliation against Israel

January 13, 2026 · flowframe Pulse

The market price rose as Iranian military officials accused Israel of instigating nationwide protests and warned of strikes against Israeli soil. With Israel moving to a high alert status on January 13 and President Trump considering military options, traders are pricing in a higher likelihood of the June 2025 ceasefire being broken.

60¢ → 63¢ • Vol: $0.7M

Source: https://flowframe.xyz/pulse/ceasefire-risk-ticks-up-as-iran-warns-of-retaliation-against-israel-9fe73f

Explore FlowFrame:

  • Market Dashboard — AAA-C rated Polymarket & Kalshi markets
  • Whale Activity — Real-time large trade alerts
  • Mentions Hub — Political speech transcript search
  • Midterms 2026 — Live election market odds
  • Trader Leaderboard — Top Polymarket traders
  • Research Blog — More prediction market analysis
  • Newsletter — Daily market intelligence