Fed hold odds ease as Powell warns of energy-driven inflation at Harvard
· flowframe Pulse
The likelihood of a 3.75% year-end rate dipped on March 30 after Chair Jerome Powell noted that the Iran conflict and surging $115 oil prices are complicating the central bank's path. While the March FOMC dot plot previously suggested one rate cut for 2026, mounting supply-side shocks have led some investors to begin pricing in a potential year-end hike instead.
34¢ → 27¢ • Vol: $0.5M