Top Prediction Markets — Polymarket & Kalshi

MarketProbabilityRatingVolume
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? 96% BBB $57.6M
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? 93% BBB $32.6M
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? 94% A $31.5M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? 82% B $23.7M
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? 88% A $20.2M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? 91% BBB $19.6M
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 98% BBB $19.3M
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? 85% A $18.6M
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 83% BB $15.6M
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? 84% BB $15.4M
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 84% BBB $14.1M
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 97% A $13.9M
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 83% BBB $13.8M
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? 77% BBB $13.7M
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? 97% BB $13.6M
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 93% A $13.1M
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 97% BBB $13.0M
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 97% BBB $12.5M
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 91% BBB $12.4M
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 91% A $12.3M

Live prediction market data from Polymarket and Kalshi, updated in real time. Markets are rated AAA through C using bond-style methodology.