| Market | Probability | Rating | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 60% | NR | $158.1M |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 59% | NR | $123.6M |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 98% | BBB | $64.7M |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 96% | BBB | $38.7M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 95% | BBB | $36.1M |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 95% | BBB | $35.0M |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 80% | BB | $26.5M |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 98% | BBB | $24.5M |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 90% | BB | $22.4M |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 88% | BB | $17.4M |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 92% | BBB | $17.4M |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 98% | BBB | $15.0M |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 80% | BB | $14.7M |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 98% | BBB | $14.3M |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 86% | BB | $14.0M |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 98% | BBB | $12.8M |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 92% | BBB | $12.6M |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 93% | BBB | $12.6M |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 86% | BB | $12.2M |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | 51% | NR | $11.9M |
Live prediction market data from Polymarket and Kalshi, updated in real time. Markets are rated AAA through C using bond-style methodology.