Bond-Rated Prediction Markets
FlowFrame applies traditional fixed-income rating methodology — AAA through C — to prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi. Markets rated AAA carry the highest probability (90–98%) with the most reliable liquidity. Lower-rated markets (BB, B, CCC) offer more upside but with wider bid-ask spreads and higher volatility.
The bond rating system transforms raw probability data into a familiar institutional framework, letting sophisticated traders screen prediction markets the same way fixed-income desks screen corporate bonds: by credit quality, yield, and duration risk. A AAA-rated market trading at 94¢ behaves like a short-duration investment-grade bond — low yield, very high certainty. A B-rated market at 70¢ carries more price risk but meaningfully higher upside.
FlowFrame's rating model incorporates: current probability, 30-day volume, order book depth, historical volatility, and time to resolution. Markets are re-rated continuously as prices move.