High Upside Prediction Markets
High-upside markets are prediction market contracts priced between 5¢ and 40¢ — longshot bets where the potential payout (2.5x to 20x) far exceeds the current probability. FlowFrame screens these markets for liquidity, volume, and signal quality to surface opportunities where the market may be underpricing real-world probability.
Unlike bond-rated markets (which prioritize certainty), high-upside markets are for traders willing to accept a higher miss rate in exchange for asymmetric payoffs. The Kelly Criterion suggests sizing these positions at 2–5% of a portfolio at most, diversified across uncorrelated events.
FlowFrame filters out thinly-traded longshots (under $10,000 volume) and markets with no recent order activity, leaving only liquid, tradeable opportunities.