Earnings Prediction Markets

Earnings prediction markets let traders bet on whether a company will beat or miss Wall Street's EPS and revenue estimates. These markets are priced weeks before the earnings report and often move significantly as new analyst estimates, supply chain data, or pre-announcement guidance becomes available.

FlowFrame cross-references Polymarket earnings markets with Finnhub earnings calendar data, showing the consensus estimate, the current market-implied probability of a beat, and historical accuracy of similar markets. Smart money in earnings markets often reflects options market signals, insider purchases, or supply chain intelligence.