Kharg Island Strike Odds Surge to 13¢ Amid Fragile Middle East Ceasefire

April 10, 2026 · flowframe Pulse

The probability of a strike on the oil terminal surged 44% as a recently brokered ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran showed signs of early strain over continued Israeli operations in Lebanon. Despite the pause in direct fire, traders are pricing in renewed risks to Iran's energy infrastructure after President Trump’s threats to 'obliterate' the island if final terms are not met by mid-April.

9¢ → 13¢ • Vol: $0.6M

Source: https://flowframe.xyz/pulse/kharg-island-strike-odds-surge-to-13-amid-fragile-middle-east-ceasefire-daccb4

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