US-Iran Strike Odds Tick Up Amid Military Buildup and Stalled Talks
· flowframe Pulse
The probability of a US strike rose after a second round of nuclear negotiations in Geneva concluded on February 17 without a breakthrough, despite Iranian claims of progress. Sentiment was further impacted by reports of a 90% chance of military action and the rapid deployment of over 50 US fighter jets to the region alongside Iranian live-fire drills in the Strait of Hormuz.
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