US-Iran Strike Odds Tick Up Amid Military Buildup and Stalled Talks

February 18, 2026 · flowframe Pulse

The probability of a US strike rose after a second round of nuclear negotiations in Geneva concluded on February 17 without a breakthrough, despite Iranian claims of progress. Sentiment was further impacted by reports of a 90% chance of military action and the rapid deployment of over 50 US fighter jets to the region alongside Iranian live-fire drills in the Strait of Hormuz.

60¢ → 63¢ • Vol: $10.9M

Source: https://flowframe.xyz/pulse/us-iran-strike-odds-tick-up-amid-military-buildup-and-stalled-talks-83bc56

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