FlowFrame — Prediction Market Intelligence
FlowFrame applies institutional fixed-income methodology to prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi — giving sophisticated traders bond-style ratings (AAA through C), real-time whale tracking, AI-powered research, and portfolio construction tools.
What FlowFrame Does
Prediction markets price the probability of future events in real time. FlowFrame analyzes every active market across Polymarket and Kalshi using a proprietary rating algorithm, order book data, and smart money tracking — surfacing the markets with the best risk-adjusted edge and the highest institutional signal quality.
The platform combines five analytical layers: Bond Ratings (AAA-C probability quality scores), Whale Tracker (large coordinated trades flagged in real time), Mentions Hub (political speech transcript search correlated with market prices), AI Research (Gemini-powered analysis with live web grounding), and Portfolio Tools (Kelly Criterion sizing, correlation hedging, paper trading).
Platform Tools
- Market Dashboard — AAA-C rated markets sorted by volume and edge, updated continuously
- Whale Activity — Real-time large trade alerts across Polymarket
- Trader Leaderboard — Top Polymarket traders ranked by profit and win rate
- Mentions Hub — Search Trump, Powell, Vance, and 20+ political figures' transcripts by keyword
- 2026 Midterms — Live Kalshi odds for every House, Senate, and Governor race
- Volume Tracker — Highest-volume markets ranked by dollars traded
- Arbitrage Scanner — Live cross-platform price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi
- Kelly Criterion Calculator — Optimal position sizing for any prediction market bet
- Research Blog — Long-form market analysis written by FlowFrame's political analysts
- Newsletter — Daily and weekly prediction market intelligence to your inbox
Latest Research
- California Governor 2026: Two Trades Worth Taking — Eric Swalwell suspended and Steyer shot to 66¢ on Kalshi. That move is too aggressive. Here are the ...
- Who Will Be Trump's Next Attorney General? — Pam Bondi was fired after 14 months. Lee Zeldin is the frontrunner at 50¢, Todd Blanche is the actin...
- California Governor Race: Tom Steyer Just Went From Afterthought to Frontrunner in Five Days — Eric Swalwell dropped out after sexual assault allegations. Tom Steyer surged from 15% to 53% on Kal...
- Iowa's Governor Race Just Got Interesting. Here's What Kalshi Thinks. — Kalshi has Iowa's GOP governor primary at Feenstra 69%, Steen 16%, Lahn 16%. Cook just moved the gen...
- Bernie's NYC Rally Word Market: The Cheat Sheet — Bernie Sanders and NYC Mayor Mamdani are rallying about AI and jobs Saturday. Polymarket's word boar...
About FlowFrame
FlowFrame was built by Tyler Jacobsma (founder and engineer) and Tyler James Webber (senior political analyst). The platform launched to bring institutional-grade analytics infrastructure to prediction markets — applying the same rating methodology that fixed-income desks use for bonds to the emerging prediction market asset class.
FlowFrame covers both Polymarket (decentralized, crypto-settled, billions in volume) and Kalshi (CFTC-regulated, U.S.-based, used by institutional traders). Data updates continuously throughout the trading day.