FlowFrame — Prediction Market Intelligence

FlowFrame applies institutional fixed-income methodology to prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi — giving sophisticated traders bond-style ratings (AAA through C), real-time whale tracking, AI-powered research, and portfolio construction tools.

What FlowFrame Does

Prediction markets price the probability of future events in real time. FlowFrame analyzes every active market across Polymarket and Kalshi using a proprietary rating algorithm, order book data, and smart money tracking — surfacing the markets with the best risk-adjusted edge and the highest institutional signal quality.

The platform combines five analytical layers: Bond Ratings (AAA-C probability quality scores), Whale Tracker (large coordinated trades flagged in real time), Mentions Hub (political speech transcript search correlated with market prices), AI Research (Gemini-powered analysis with live web grounding), and Portfolio Tools (Kelly Criterion sizing, correlation hedging, paper trading).

Platform Tools

  • Market Dashboard — AAA-C rated markets sorted by volume and edge, updated continuously
  • Whale Activity — Real-time large trade alerts across Polymarket
  • Trader Leaderboard — Top Polymarket traders ranked by profit and win rate
  • Mentions Hub — Search Trump, Powell, Vance, and 20+ political figures' transcripts by keyword
  • 2026 Midterms — Live Kalshi odds for every House, Senate, and Governor race
  • Volume Tracker — Highest-volume markets ranked by dollars traded
  • Arbitrage Scanner — Live cross-platform price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi
  • Kelly Criterion Calculator — Optimal position sizing for any prediction market bet
  • Research Blog — Long-form market analysis written by FlowFrame's political analysts
  • Newsletter — Daily and weekly prediction market intelligence to your inbox

Latest Research

  • The Open Championship Preview, can Scheffler Repeat? — The Open Championship starts Thursday at Royal Birkdale. Scottie Scheffler is the defending champ an...
  • Meta's Push into Prediction Markets Is a Data Play — The points-not-cash design looks timid. It's the most valuable part, because the prize was never the...
  • 2026 US Open Betting Preview: Shinnecock Favors the Grinders Over the Bombers — Shinnecock's wind and five-inch fescue make even par a winning score, and that compresses the board....
  • The 23-Point Gap: How Polymarket and Kalshi Split on Trump's Iran Nuclear Deal — Trump's June 11 Iran nuclear MOU sent Polymarket's deal market to 74% but Kalshi's to just 51%. We u...
  • UFC Freedom 250: A Fight Card at the White House — and the Markets Behind It — The UFC is building an octagon on the South Lawn of the White House for Freedom 250. We break down t...

About FlowFrame

FlowFrame was built by Tyler Jacobsma (founder and engineer) and Tyler James Webber (senior political analyst). The platform launched to bring institutional-grade analytics infrastructure to prediction markets — applying the same rating methodology that fixed-income desks use for bonds to the emerging prediction market asset class.

FlowFrame covers both Polymarket (decentralized, crypto-settled, billions in volume) and Kalshi (CFTC-regulated, U.S.-based, used by institutional traders). Data updates continuously throughout the trading day.

Explore: Dashboard · Blog · Mentions Hub · Midterms 2026 · About · Newsletter