FlowFrame — Prediction Market Intelligence
FlowFrame applies institutional fixed-income methodology to prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi — giving sophisticated traders bond-style ratings (AAA through C), real-time whale tracking, AI-powered research, and portfolio construction tools.
What FlowFrame Does
Prediction markets price the probability of future events in real time. FlowFrame analyzes every active market across Polymarket and Kalshi using a proprietary rating algorithm, order book data, and smart money tracking — surfacing the markets with the best risk-adjusted edge and the highest institutional signal quality.
The platform combines five analytical layers: Bond Ratings (AAA-C probability quality scores), Whale Tracker (large coordinated trades flagged in real time), Mentions Hub (political speech transcript search correlated with market prices), AI Research (Gemini-powered analysis with live web grounding), and Portfolio Tools (Kelly Criterion sizing, correlation hedging, paper trading).
Platform Tools
- Market Dashboard — AAA-C rated markets sorted by volume and edge, updated continuously
- Whale Activity — Real-time large trade alerts across Polymarket
- Trader Leaderboard — Top Polymarket traders ranked by profit and win rate
- Mentions Hub — Search Trump, Powell, Vance, and 20+ political figures' transcripts by keyword
- 2026 Midterms — Live Kalshi odds for every House, Senate, and Governor race
- Volume Tracker — Highest-volume markets ranked by dollars traded
- Arbitrage Scanner — Live cross-platform price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi
- Kelly Criterion Calculator — Optimal position sizing for any prediction market bet
- Research Blog — Long-form market analysis written by FlowFrame's political analysts
- Newsletter — Daily and weekly prediction market intelligence to your inbox
Latest Research
- California Governor 2026: The Becerra Surge Has Overshot Fair Value — The market repriced Xavier Becerra from 50 cents to 61 cents in the 48 hours after Eric Swalwell exi...
- Iowa Republican governor primary: Kalshi is overpaying for Feenstra — Kalshi prices Randy Feenstra in the mid-to-high 70s. The data says he is closer to a coin flip. ...
- Maine Senate 2026: BUY NO at 30 Cents — Kalshi prices Democrats to win the Maine Senate race at 71% YES. A five-factor model — polling basel...
- Trump's Coast Guard Academy Speech Word Market: The Cheat Sheet — Trump delivers the Coast Guard Academy commencement Wednesday morning. Kalshi's word board has "Hott...
- Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick Out as Representatives? Term Structure Mispricing on a Single-Member Question — Kalshi's three-contract House departure series has reduced to a single referendum on Cory Mills afte...
About FlowFrame
FlowFrame was built by Tyler Jacobsma (founder and engineer) and Tyler James Webber (senior political analyst). The platform launched to bring institutional-grade analytics infrastructure to prediction markets — applying the same rating methodology that fixed-income desks use for bonds to the emerging prediction market asset class.
FlowFrame covers both Polymarket (decentralized, crypto-settled, billions in volume) and Kalshi (CFTC-regulated, U.S.-based, used by institutional traders). Data updates continuously throughout the trading day.